×
Well done. You've clicked the tower. This would actually achieve something if you had logged in first. Use the key for that. The name takes you home. This is where all the applicables sit. And you can't apply any changes to my site unless you are logged in.

Our policy is best summarized as "we don't care about _you_, we care about _them_", no emails, so no forgetting your password. You have no rights. It's like you don't even exist. If you publish material, I reserve the right to remove it, or use it myself.

Don't impersonate. Don't name someone involuntarily. You can lose everything if you cross the line, and no, I won't cancel your automatic payments first, so you'll have to do it the hard way. See how serious this sounds? That's how serious you're meant to take these.

×
Register


Required. 150 characters or fewer. Letters, digits and @/./+/-/_ only.
  • Your password can’t be too similar to your other personal information.
  • Your password must contain at least 8 characters.
  • Your password can’t be a commonly used password.
  • Your password can’t be entirely numeric.
Enter the same password as before, for verification.
Login

Grow A Dic
Define A Word
Make Space
Set Task
Mark Post
Apply Votestyle
Create Votes
(From: saved spaces)
Exclude Votes
Apply Dic
Exclude Dic

Most claimed statistical findings in cross-sectional return predictability are likely true

Click here to flash read.

arXiv:2206.15365v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: I develop simple and intuitive bounds for the false discovery rate (FDR) in cross-sectional return predictability publications. The bounds can be calculated by plugging in summary statistics from previous papers and reliably bound the FDR in simulations that closely mimic cross-predictor correlations. Most bounds find that at least 75% of findings are true. The tightest bound finds at least 91% of findings are true. Surprisingly, the estimates in Harvey, Liu, and Zhu (2016) imply a similar FDR. I explain how Harvey et al.'s conclusion that most findings are false stems from equating "false" and "insignificant."

Click here to read this post out
ID: 809459; Unique Viewers: 0
Unique Voters: 0
Total Votes: 0
Votes:
Latest Change: March 29, 2024, 7:33 a.m. Changes:
/u/anonymous
Dictionaries:
Words:
Spaces:
Views: 17
CC:
No creative common's license
Comments: